## ----setup, include = FALSE--------------------------------------------------- knitr::opts_chunk$set( collapse = TRUE, comment = "#>" ) library(tscopula) ## ----setup-tscopula----------------------------------------------------------- ar1 <- armacopula(list(ar = 0.7)) ar1 ## ----simulate-copula, fig.show='hold', fig.width = 6, fig.height = 3, dev.args =list(pointsize=9)---- set.seed(13) data1 <- sim(ar1, 1000) ts.plot(data1) ## ----fit-copula--------------------------------------------------------------- ar1spec <- armacopula(list(ar = 0)) ar1fit <- fit(ar1spec, data1) ar1fit ## ----arma11example, fig.show='hold', fig.width = 6, fig.height = 3, dev.args =list(pointsize=9)---- arma11 <- armacopula(list(ar = 0.95, ma = -0.85)) data2 <- sim(arma11, 1000) ts.plot(data2) arma11spec <- armacopula(list(ar = 0.1, ma = 0.1)) arma11fit <- fit(arma11spec, data2, tsoptions = list(hessian = TRUE)) arma11fit ## ----arma11plots, fig.show='hold'--------------------------------------------- coef(arma11fit) res <- resid(arma11fit) acf(res) acf(abs(res)) plot(arma11fit) plot(arma11fit, plottype = "kendall") mu_t <- resid(arma11fit, trace = TRUE) ts.plot(mu_t) ## ----kalman------------------------------------------------------------------- head(kfilter(arma11fit@tscopula, data2)) ## ----dvinecopula-setup-------------------------------------------------------- copmod <- dvinecopula( family = c("Clayton","Frank", "Gaussian"), pars = list(1.2, 2, 0.15), rotation = c(180,0, 0) ) copmod ## ----dvinecopula-sim, fig.show='hold', fig.width = 6, fig.height = 3, dev.args =list(pointsize=9)---- set.seed(29) data1 <- sim(copmod, n = 2000) hist(data1) ts.plot(data1) ## ----dvinecopula-est---------------------------------------------------------- copspec <- dvinecopula( family = c("Clayton","Frank", "Gaussian"), pars = list(0.5, 1, 0), rotation = c(180, 0, 0) ) copfit <- fit(copspec, data1, tsoptions = list(hessian = TRUE), control = list(maxit = 2000)) copfit coef(copfit) coef(copmod) ## ----dvinecopula-fit, fig.show='hold', dev.args =list(pointsize=9)------------ plot(copfit) plot(copfit, plottype = "kendall") ## ----genlagplot, fig.show='hold', fig.width = 6, fig.height = 6, dev.args =list(pointsize=9)---- plot(copfit, plottype = "glag") ## ----dvinecopula2-setup------------------------------------------------------- copmod <- dvinecopula2(family = "joe", kpacf = "kpacf_arma", pars = list(ar = 0.9, ma = -0.85), maxlag = 20) copmod ## ----dvinecopula2-sim, fig.show='hold', fig.width = 6, fig.height = 3, dev.args =list(pointsize=9)---- set.seed(13) data1 <- sim(copmod, n = 2000) hist(data1) ts.plot(data1) ## ----dvinecopula2-est--------------------------------------------------------- copspec_Gauss <- dvinecopula2(family = "gauss", pars = list(ar = 0, ma = 0), maxlag = 20) fitGauss <- fit(copspec_Gauss, data1) fitGauss copspec_Joe <- dvinecopula2(family = "joe", pars = list(ar = 0, ma = 0), maxlag = 20) fitJoe <- fit(copspec_Joe, data1) fitJoe AIC(fitGauss, fitJoe) ## ----dvinecopula2-plot, fig.show='hold', dev.args =list(pointsize=9)---------- plot(fitJoe) plot(fitJoe, plottype = "kendall")