## ----setup, include = FALSE--------------------------------------------------- knitr::opts_chunk$set( collapse = TRUE, comment = "#>" ) library(tscopula) ## ----standard-arma, fig.show='hold', fig.width = 6, fig.height = 3, dev.args =list(pointsize=9)---- set.seed(13) data1 <- 0.5 + 2*arima.sim(list(ar =0.95, ma =-0.85), 1000) ts.plot(data1) ## ----standard-arma-fit-------------------------------------------------------- copspec <- armacopula(pars = list(ar =0.01, ma =0.01)) margspec <- margin("norm") fullspec <- tscm(copspec, margspec) modfit <- fit(fullspec, data1, method = "full") modfit ## ----standardarma-plot, fig.show='hold', dev.args =list(pointsize=9)---------- plot(modfit, plottype = "residual") plot(modfit, plottype = "kendall") plot(modfit, plottype = "margin") ## ----tscm-dvine--------------------------------------------------------------- copmod <- dvinecopula2(family = "joe", kpacf = "kpacf_arma", pars = list(ar = 0.9, ma = -0.8), maxlag = 20) vcopmod <- vtscopula(copmod, Vtransform = V2p(delta = 0.5, kappa = 2)) margmod <- margin("slaplace", pars = c(mu = 1, scale = 2, gamma = 0.7)) tscmmod <- tscm(vcopmod, margmod) tscmmod ## ----tscm-dvine-sim, fig.show='hold', fig.width = 6, fig.height = 3, dev.args =list(pointsize=9)---- set.seed(13) data2 <- sim(tscmmod, n= 2000) hist(data2) ts.plot(data2) ## ----margin-fit--------------------------------------------------------------- margfit <- fit(margmod, data2) ## ----stepwise-fit------------------------------------------------------------- tscmfit_step <- fit(tscmmod, data2) tscmfit_step coef(tscmfit_step) coef(tscmmod) ## ----full-optimization-------------------------------------------------------- tscmfit_full <- fit(tscmfit_step, data2, method = "full") tscmfit_full ## ----compare-models----------------------------------------------------------- AIC(margfit, tscmfit_step, tscmfit_full) ## ----plots1, fig.show='hold', dev.args =list(pointsize=9)--------------------- plot(tscmfit_full) plot(tscmfit_full, plottype = "kendall") ## ----plot2, fig.show='hold', dev.args =list(pointsize=9)---------------------- plot(tscmfit_full, plottype = "margin") ## ----plots3, fig.show='hold', dev.args =list(pointsize=9)--------------------- plot(tscmfit_full, plottype = "vtransform") plot(tscmfit_full, plottype = "volprofile") ## ----plot4, fig.show='hold', dev.args =list(pointsize=9)---------------------- plot(tscmfit_full, plottype = "volproxy")