Title: Simulate Stock-Flow Consistent Models
Version: 0.2.1
Description: Routines to write, simulate, and validate stock-flow consistent (SFC) models. The accounting structure of SFC models are described in Godley and Lavoie (2007, ISBN:978-1-137-08599-3). The algorithms implemented to solve the models (Gauss-Seidel and Broyden) are described in Kinsella and O'Shea (2010) <doi:10.2139/ssrn.1729205> and Peressini and Sullivan (1988, ISBN:0-387-96614-5).
License: MIT + file LICENSE
Encoding: UTF-8
RoxygenNote: 7.1.1
URL: https://github.com/joaomacalos/sfcr
BugReports: https://github.com/joaomacalos/sfcr/issues
Imports: dplyr (≥ 1.0.2), expm (≥ 0.999.5), forcats (≥ 0.5.0), igraph (≥ 1.2.6), kableExtra (≥ 1.3.1), magrittr (≥ 1.5), purrr (≥ 0.3.4), Rdpack (≥ 2.1), rootSolve (≥ 1.8.2.1), rlang (≥ 0.4.7), tibble (≥ 3.0.3), tidyr (≥ 1.1.2), tidyselect (≥ 1.1.0), stringr (≥ 1.4.0), utils, vctrs (≥ 0.3.5), Rcpp (≥ 1.0.5)
Suggests: ggraph, ggplot2, grDevices, knitr, pkgdown, rmarkdown, RColorBrewer, testthat (≥ 2.3.2), tidygraph, tidyverse, networkD3
VignetteBuilder: knitr
RdMacros: Rdpack
LinkingTo: Rcpp, RcppArmadillo
NeedsCompilation: yes
Packaged: 2021-10-11 07:46:08 UTC; JouJo
Author: Joao Macalos ORCID iD [aut, cre]
Maintainer: Joao Macalos <joaomacalos@gmail.com>
Repository: CRAN
Date/Publication: 2021-10-11 08:00:02 UTC

Pipe operator

Description

See magrittr::%>% for details.

Usage

lhs %>% rhs

Abort if duplicated variables

Description

Abort if duplicated variables

Usage

.abort_if_dup(dups)

Arguments

dups

name(s) of offending variables

Author(s)

João Macalós


Abort if typo on the codes of columns

Description

Abort if typo on the codes of columns

Usage

.abort_typo_code(nms)

Arguments

nms

Incorrect codes detected

Author(s)

João Macalós


Abort if column validation is not fulfilled

Description

Abort if column validation is not fulfilled

Usage

.abort_water_leakc(c2names, which)

Arguments

c2names

Names of offending columns

which

Balance-sheet or transactions-flow matrix?

Author(s)

João Macalós


Abort if row validation is not fulfilled

Description

Abort if row validation is not fulfilled

Usage

.abort_water_leakr(r2names, which)

Arguments

r2names

Names of offending rows

which

Balance-sheet or transactions-flow matrix?

Author(s)

João Macalós


Find dependencies and order the equations

Description

Find dependencies and order the equations

Usage

.add_time2(x)

Arguments

x

A vector to modify

Author(s)

João Macalós


Find dependencies and order the equations

Description

Find dependencies and order the equations

Usage

.add_time_stamps(eq_as_tb)

Arguments

eq_as_tb

A tibble generated with .eq_as_tb().

Author(s)

João Macalós


Check if all values in x are equal

Description

Check if all values in x are equal

Usage

.all_equal(x, tol)

Arguments

x

A numeric vector

tol

Tolerance to declare equality

Author(s)

João Macalós


Take arguments and make them a row of a tibble

Description

Take arguments and make them a row of a tibble

Usage

.args_to_row(arg, tb)

Arguments

arg

The arguments to transform

tb

The Tibble that will receive the rows

Author(s)

João Macalós


Broyden solver algorithm

Description

Broyden solver algorithm

Usage

.broyden_solver(.x0, .fn, max_ite, tol)

Arguments

.x0

Vector with initial guess for x.

.fn

A function containing the system of equations.

max_ite

Maximum number of iterations allowed

tol

A numeric value indicating the accepted tolerance to declare convergence.

Note

Check https://www.math.usm.edu/lambers/mat419/lecture11.pdf for a quick reference on the algorithm.

Author(s)

João Macalós


Check shocks for length consistency and warn about risks of using exogenous series

Description

This function makes two checks:

Usage

.check_external_consistency(external, periods = periods)

Arguments

external

An .eq_as_tb() tibble with external variables.

periods

The periods of the baseline model.

Details

  1. The exogenous variable is a constant that is repeated over time;

  2. The exogenous variable has exactly the same length as the shock.

Furthermore, it throws a warning that using exogenous series in a shock can lead to unexpected behavior if the length of the shock is not the same as the periods in the scenario.

Author(s)

João Macalós


Check shocks for length consistency and warn about risks of using exogenous series

Description

This function executes two checks and issues one warning.

Usage

.check_shock_consistency(shock, periods = periods)

Arguments

shock

A sfcr_shock object

Details

First, it checks that the start of the shock is not negative and that the end of the shock is not bigger than the number of periods in the scenario.

Secondly, it checks for consistency on the length of the shocks added to the scenario. Only two types of exogenous variables are allowed:

  1. The exogenous variable is a constant that is repeated over time;

  2. The exogenous variable has exactly the same length as the shock.

Furthermore, it throws a warning that using exogenous series in a shock can lead to unexpected behavior if the length of the shock is not the same as the periods in the scenario.

Author(s)

João Macalós


Check that symmetry condition is valid and fulfill missing entries

Description

Check that symmetry condition is valid and fulfill missing entries

Usage

.check_symmetry(m)

Arguments

m

A square matrix

Author(s)

João Macalós


Split the formulae into a tibble with the left-hand side and right-hand side as columns

Description

Split the formulae into a tibble with the left-hand side and right-hand side as columns

Usage

.eq_as_tb(equations)

Arguments

equations

list of equations

Author(s)

João Macalós


Extend a baseline matrix

Description

This function is called if a scenario is to be created that just continues with the baseline specification. It is useful to create a benchmark model to compare new scenarios.

Usage

.extend_baseline_matrix(baseline, periods)

Arguments

baseline

A baseline model

periods

The total number of periods to run the model

Author(s)

João Macalós


Fill all possible rows and columns and validate

Description

Fill all possible rows and columns and validate

Usage

.fill_rows_and_cols(m)

Arguments

m

A square matrix

Author(s)

João Macalós


Find blocks of independent equations (wrapper around igraph functions)

Description

Find blocks of independent equations (wrapper around igraph functions)

Usage

.find_blocks(adj)

Arguments

adj

Adjacency matrix

Author(s)

João Macalós


Find names for display matrix

Description

Clean cells to display in latex format

Usage

.find_names(matrix)

Arguments

matrix

A balance-sheet or transactions-flow matrix

Author(s)

João Macalós


Get numeric matrix for evaluation from balance-sheet or transactions-flow matrices

Description

Get numeric matrix for evaluation from balance-sheet or transactions-flow matrices

Usage

.get_matrix(mtrx, bl1, bl2)

Arguments

mtrx

Balance-sheet or transactions-flow matrix

bl1

calls from baseline model

bl2

external from baseline model

Author(s)

João Macalós


Check if two values are equal

Description

Check if two values are equal

Usage

.is_equal(x, y, tol)

Arguments

x, y

numeric values

tol

Tolerance to declare equality

Author(s)

João Macalós


Make the underlying matrix that will be modified in place by the solvers

Description

Make the underlying matrix that will be modified in place by the solvers

Usage

.make_matrix(equations, external, periods, initial = NULL)

Arguments

equations

Prepared equations.

external

Exogenous and parameters as tibble.

periods

Total number of rows.

initial

Initial values, if supplied.

Author(s)

João Macalós


Prep equations for Broyden and Newton solvers

Description

Prep equations for Broyden and Newton solvers

Usage

.prep_broyden(.block)

Arguments

.block

Blocks of equations

Author(s)

João Macalós


Re-wrote the equations with the correct matrix syntax that will be used to evaluate the expressions inside the Gauss Seidel algorithm

Description

Re-wrote the equations with the correct matrix syntax that will be used to evaluate the expressions inside the Gauss Seidel algorithm

Usage

.prep_equations(ordered_eqs, external)

Arguments

ordered_eqs

ordered equations after passing through .sfcr_find_order() function.

external

Tibble of exogenous values and parameters, already separated with .eq_as_tb() function.

Author(s)

João Macalós


Pattern replacement var

Description

Pattern replacement var

Usage

.pvar(x)

Arguments

x

vector of variables

Author(s)

João Macalós


Pattern replacement lag

Description

Pattern replacement lag

Usage

.pvarlag(x)

Arguments

x

vector of variables

Author(s)

João Macalós


Find cyclical nodes

Description

Find cyclical nodes

Usage

.return_loops(m)

Arguments

m

adjacency matrix

Note

See Networks: an introduction from M.E.J. Newman, 2010, p. 136-139 for a reference on this algorithm.


Scan columns to fill whenever there's only one value missing.

Description

Scan columns to fill whenever there's only one value missing.

Usage

.scan_cols(m)

Arguments

m

A square matrix

Author(s)

João Macalós


Scan rows to fill whenever there's only one value missing.

Description

Scan rows to fill whenever there's only one value missing.

Usage

.scan_rows(m)

Arguments

m

A square matrix

Author(s)

João Macalós


Broyden solver wrapper

Description

Broyden solver wrapper

Usage

.sfcr_broyden(m, equations, periods, max_ite, tol)

Arguments

m

The initialized matrix obtained with .make_matrix().

equations

Prepared equations with .prep_equations().

periods

Total number of rows (periods) in the model.

max_ite

Maximum number of iterations allowed per block per period.

tol

Tolerance accepted to determine convergence.

Details

This function implements the Broyden method to solve the cyclical blocks of equations.

Author(s)

João Macalós


Check for missing endogenous variables

Description

Check for missing endogenous variables

Usage

.sfcr_eqs_check(m, equations)

Arguments

m

The initialized matrix obtained with .make_matrix().

equations

Prepared equations with .prep_equations().

Author(s)

João Macalós


Find adjacency matrix for a system of equations

Description

Find adjacency matrix for a system of equations

Usage

.sfcr_find_adjacency(equations)

Arguments

equations

A system of equations already time stamped

Author(s)

João Macalós


Place the equations in the correct order for estimation

Description

Place the equations in the correct order for estimation

Usage

.sfcr_find_order(equations)

Arguments

equations

Equations supplied by the user.

Details

Create an adjacency matrix and apply .find_blocks() function to identify the blocks of independent equations.

Author(s)

João Macalós


Gauss Seidel algorithm

Description

Gauss Seidel algorithm

Usage

.sfcr_gauss_seidel(m, equations, periods, max_ite, tol)

Arguments

m

The initialized matrix obtained with .make_matrix().

equations

Prepared equations with .prep_equations().

periods

Total number of rows (periods) in the model.

max_ite

Maximum number of iterations allowed per block per period.

tol

Tolerance accepted to determine convergence.

Details

This algorithm simulates the model by recursion by using nested for loops. At each round of iteration, the values calculated are compared to the previous values. If the difference is below a tolerance value set by the user, the round of calculations have converged and the algorithm jump to the next block of equations.

The algorithm modifies a matrix in place to optimize its performance.

Author(s)

João Macalós


Make matrix for scenario calculations

Description

Make matrix for scenario calculations

Usage

.sfcr_make_scenario_matrix(baseline, scenario, periods)

Arguments

baseline

a model calculated with the sfcr_sim() function

scenario

a List holding the different scenarios

periods

The total number of periods in the model

Details

This function generates the base matrix that is going to be modified in place by the different solvers.

Author(s)

João Macalós


Newton-Raphson solver implemented with rootSolve::multiroot()

Description

Newton-Raphson solver implemented with rootSolve::multiroot()

Usage

.sfcr_newton(m, equations, periods, max_ite, tol, ...)

Arguments

m

The initialized matrix obtained with .make_matrix().

equations

Prepared equations with .prep_equations().

periods

Total number of rows (periods) in the model.

max_ite

Maximum number of iterations allowed per block per period.

tol

Tolerance accepted to determine convergence.

...

Extra parameters to pass to rootSolve::multiroot().

Details

This function implements the Newton-Raphson method to solve the cyclical blocks of equations. It relies on the multiroot() function from rootSolve.

Author(s)

João Macalós


Transform entries into latex style

Description

Transform entries into latex style

Usage

.to_latex_style(matrix, nms)

Arguments

matrix

a balance-sheet or transactions-flow matrix

nms

Cleaned names with .find_names()

Author(s)

João Macalós


Validate a balance-sheet or transactions-flow matrix on the simulated data

Description

Validate a balance-sheet or transactions-flow matrix on the simulated data

Usage

.validate_matrix(mtrx, m, which = "tfm", tol, rtol = FALSE)

Arguments

mtrx

A balance-sheet or transactions-flow matrix

m

A baseline model in matrix format – get from attributes or with sfcr_get_matrix() function.

which

A balance-sheet or a transactions-flow matrix?

tol

Tolerance for convergence

rtol

Relative tolerance?

Author(s)

João Macalós


Check that the portfolio matrix respect the horizontal and vertical adding-up constraints

Description

Check that the portfolio matrix respect the horizontal and vertical adding-up constraints

Usage

.validate_scan(m, which)

Arguments

m

A square matrix

which

Rows or columns?

Author(s)

João Macalós


Abort if not

Description

Abort if not

Usage

abortifnot(cnd, message = NULL)

Arguments

cnd

Condition to be evaluated.

message

Message to display if condition is false.

Author(s)

João Macalós


sfcr_mlt constructor

Description

sfcr_mlt constructor

Usage

new_sfcr_mlt(multis, fixed)

Arguments

multis

A list with multiple sfcr_tbl

fixed

The fixed argument

Author(s)

João Macalós


sfcr_mlt_set constructor

Description

sfcr_mlt_set constructor

Usage

new_sfcr_mlt_set(x, original)

Arguments

x

A expanded list of sfcr_set's

original

the original sfcr_set

Author(s)

João Macalós


sfcr_mlt_shock constructor

Description

sfcr_mlt_shock constructor

Usage

new_sfcr_mlt_shock(x, original)

Arguments

x

A expanded list of sfcr_shock's

original

the original sfcr_shock

Author(s)

João Macalós


sfcr_set constructor

Description

sfcr_set constructor

Usage

new_sfcr_set(list)

Arguments

list

A list

Author(s)

João Macalós


new_sfcr_tbl constructor

Description

new_sfcr_tbl constructor

Usage

new_sfcr_tbl(tbl, matrix, calls, external)

Arguments

tbl

A tibble

matrix

a Matrix

calls

Calls tibble

external

Vector with external names

Author(s)

João Macalós


Simulate the baseline scenario of a stock-flow consistent model

Description

The sfcr_baseline() function is used to simulate a SFC model.

Usage

sfcr_baseline(
  equations,
  external,
  periods,
  initial = NULL,
  hidden = NULL,
  max_iter = 350,
  .hidden_tol = 0.1,
  tol = 1e-08,
  method = "Broyden",
  rhtol = FALSE,
  ...
)

Arguments

equations

A sfcr_set containing all the equations of the model to be simulated. The equations must be written with the R formula syntax, with the left-hand side separated from the right-hand side by a twiddle ~.

external, initial

A sfcr_set of external variables (exogenous and parameters) or of initial values. They should be written as equations using the R syntax.

periods

A number specifying the total number of periods of the model to be simulated.

hidden

Named object that identify the two variables that make the hidden equality in the SFC model, e.g., c("H_h" = "H_s"). Defaults to NULL. If hidden is supplied, the model will evaluate if the hidden equation is satisfied.

max_iter

Maximum iterations allowed per period.

.hidden_tol

Error tolerance to accept the equality of the hidden equation. Defaults to 1. In growth models, computational errors might buildup in the hidden equation, which renders any absolute comparison inadequate. For such models, please turn rhtol to TRUE, and set the value of .hidden_tol accordingly. See details for further information.

tol

Tolerance accepted to determine convergence.

method

The method to use to find a solution. Defaults to "Broyden".

rhtol

A logical argument that defines whether the a relative measure is used to evaluate the hidden equation or not. Defaults to FALSE, i.e., a absolute measure is used.

...

Extra arguments to pass to rootSolve::multiroot() function if "Newton" method is selected.

Details

The output of a sfcr_baseline() is a sfcr_tbl. The only difference between a sfcr_tbl and a standard tbl_df is that the former has two extra attributes: matrix and call. The matrix attribute, for example, can be accessed by calling attributes(sfcr_sim_object)$matrix. It is possible to see, in the matrix, the number of iterations required to calculate each block of equations in the model. The call attribute shows the blocks of equations and preserve the call that are used internally.

The equations, exogenous, and parameters arguments must be written with the R formula syntax, i.e., the left-hand side of each item is separated to the right-hand side by a twiddle. Variables that represent lags of endogenous or exogenous variables must be followed by [-1]. See examples for details on the syntax.

Before solving the system of equations, two consecutive depth-first searches identify and order the blocks of independent equations in the system. The system is then solved sequentially, i.e., the variables that depend only on lagged or exogenous values are evaluated first, and then the variables that depends on these variables, etc. The solving algorithms are only applied to the blocks of mutually dependent equations. The great igraph package is used to implement the two consecutive depth-first searches.

The sfcr package provides three algorithms to solve the blocks of cyclical equations: the Gauss-Seidel algorithm, the Broyden algorithm, and the Newton-Raphson algorithm. The default method is "Broyden" as it tends to be fastest one.

See (Kinsella and OShea 2010) for details on the Gauss-Seidel algorithm and (Peressini et al. 1988) for details on the Broyden and Newton-Raphson algorithms.

The "Broyden" algorithm uses the rootSolve::jacobian.full() function to get the initial Jacobian matrix, and compiled code from RcppArmadillo to invert the jacobians. See also https://www.math.usm.edu/lambers/mat419/lecture11.pdf.

The Gauss Seidel algorithm is implemented as described by (Kinsella and OShea 2010). Finally, the "Newton" method uses the rootSolve::multiroot() function to solve the system.

One of the defining aspects of a SFC model is its water tight accounting. One way to check whether the model was correctly defined is to see if the hidden (redundant) equation is satisfied after the model is simulated. In stationary models, an absolute comparison should suffice as the model converges to a stationary state. However, growth models converge to a stable growth rate where stocks are perpetually increasing. It is inadequate to use a absolute comparison in such models. In these cases, the rhtol argument ("relative hidden tolerance") must be set to TRUE in order to perform a relative comparison. The relative comparison evaluates the numerical discrepancy in the hidden equation as a ratio of one of its elements. For example, if hidden = c("Bbs" = "Bbd"), the hidden equation will be evaluated according to the following steps:

  1. d = (Bbs - Bbd)

  2. isTRUE(d/Bbs < .hidden_tol)

In general, the .hidden_tol argument should be set to a small number (e.g. 1e-6). The function will check that this proportion remains the same for all simulated periods.

Value

A sfcr_tbl.

Author(s)

João Macalós, joaomacalos@gmail.com

References

Kinsella S, OShea T (2010). “Solution and Simulation of Large Stock Flow Consistent Monetary Production Models via the Gauss Seidel Algorithm.” SSRN Electronic Journal. doi: 10.2139/ssrn.1729205, https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1729205. Peressini AL, Sullivan FE, Uhl JJ (1988). The Mathematics of Nonlinear Programming. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, Heidelberg. ISBN 0387966145.

Examples

eqs <- sfcr_set(
  TXs ~ TXd,
  YD ~ W * Ns - TXs,
  Cd ~ alpha1 * YD + alpha2 * Hh[-1],
  Hh ~ YD - Cd + Hh[-1],
  Ns ~ Nd,
  Nd ~ Y / W,
  Cs ~ Cd,
  Gs ~ Gd,
  Y ~ Cs + Gs,
  TXd ~ theta * W * Ns,
  Hs ~ Gd - TXd + Hs[-1]
)

external <- sfcr_set(Gd ~ 20, W ~ 1, alpha1 ~ 0.6, alpha2 ~ 0.4, theta ~ 0.2)

# Periods is set to 10 to run faster. A usual model should run at
# least 50 periods to find a steady state
sfcr_baseline(equations = eqs, external = external, periods = 10)


Create a tbl_graph object blocks and cycles information

Description

Create a tbl_graph object blocks and cycles information

Usage

sfcr_dag_blocks(equations)

Arguments

equations

A sfcr_set containing all the equations of the model to be simulated. The equations must be written with the R formula syntax, with the left-hand side separated from the right-hand side by a twiddle ~.

Details

This function creates a tbl_graph with information about the blocks and cycles attached to it. This object can then be used to plot the DAG of the model.

Value

A tbl_graph

Author(s)

João Macalós, joaomacalos@gmail.com


Plot the DAG with blocks and cycles information

Description

Plot the DAG with blocks and cycles information

Usage

sfcr_dag_blocks_plot(equations, title = NULL, size = 10)

Arguments

equations

A sfcr_set containing all the equations of the model to be simulated. The equations must be written with the R formula syntax, with the left-hand side separated from the right-hand side by a twiddle ~.

title

Title of the plot.

size

Size of the points.

Details

This function creates a tbl_graph with information about the cycles attached to it. This object can then be used to plot the DAG of the model.

Value

A tbl_graph

Author(s)

João Macalós, joaomacalos@gmail.com


Create a tbl_graph object with cycles information

Description

Create a tbl_graph object with cycles information

Usage

sfcr_dag_cycles(equations)

Arguments

equations

A sfcr_set containing all the equations of the model to be simulated. The equations must be written with the R formula syntax, with the left-hand side separated from the right-hand side by a twiddle ~.

Details

This function creates a tbl_graph with information about the cycles attached to it. This object can then be used to plot the DAG of the model.

Value

A tbl_graph

Author(s)

João Macalós, joaomacalos@gmail.com


Plot the DAG with cycles information

Description

Plot the DAG with cycles information

Usage

sfcr_dag_cycles_plot(equations, title = NULL, size = 10)

Arguments

equations

A sfcr_set containing all the equations of the model to be simulated. The equations must be written with the R formula syntax, with the left-hand side separated from the right-hand side by a twiddle ~.

title

Title of the plot.

size

Size of the points.

Author(s)

João Macalós


Expand variables to implement sensitivity analysis

Description

The sfcr_expand() function is a s3 generic that takes a list of external objects and returns a expanded set of these lists. It has methods for sfcr_set objects and for sfcr_shock objects.

Usage

sfcr_expand(x, variable, values)

Arguments

x

A external set created with sfcr_set() or a shock set created with sfcr_shock()

variable

the name of variable to be expanded.

values

a vector containing the new values of the external or shock variable.

Details

There are two available methods for the sfcr_expand() function:

Author(s)

João Macalós

Examples

# 1. Expand a external set:
external <- sfcr_set(G_d ~ 20, W ~ 1, alpha1 ~ 0.6, alpha2 ~ 0.4, theta ~ 0.2)
sfcr_expand(external, alpha2, c(0.1, 0.2))

# 2. Expand a shock:
shock <- sfcr_shock(variables = sfcr_set(alpha1 ~ 0.8), start = 5, end = 50)
sfcr_expand(shock, alpha1, c(0.7, 0.8, 0.9))


Get block structure of a sfcr_tbl object

Description

Get block structure of a sfcr_tbl object

Usage

sfcr_get_blocks(sfcr_tbl)

Arguments

sfcr_tbl

A sfcr_tbl object.

Author(s)

João Macalós


Get Matrix form of sfcr_tbl object

Description

Get Matrix form of sfcr_tbl object

Usage

sfcr_get_matrix(sfcr_tbl)

Arguments

sfcr_tbl

A sfcr_tbl object.

Author(s)

João Macalós


Create balance-sheet or transactions-flow matrices

Description

Create balance-sheet or transactions-flow matrices

Usage

sfcr_matrix(columns, codes, ...)

Arguments

columns

Vector containing the name of the columns in the matrix.

codes

A vector containing the abbreviation of the column names that is going to be used as a reference to build the rows. They must be provided in the same order as the columns.

...

Vectors that fill the rows of the matrix. The first element of each vector must be the name of the row in the respective matrix. The remaining elements of the vector must be name-value pairs that exactly matches the codes argument. See the examples for further details.

Note

This function can be used to generate a transactions- flow matrix as well as a balance-sheet matrix. If the user wishes to validate these matrices with the simulated data, please pay attention to the following details:

Author(s)

João Macalós, joaomacalos@gmail.com

Examples

# Balance-sheet matrix

bs_pc <- sfcr_matrix(
  columns = c("Households", "Firms", "Government", "Central bank", "sum"),
  codes = c("h", "f", "g", "cb", "s"),
  r1 = c("Money", h = "+Hh", cb = "-Hs"),
  r2 = c("Bills", h = "+Bh", g = "-Bs", cb = "+Bcb"),
  r3 = c("Balance", h = "-V", g = "+V")
)


# Transactions-flow matrix
tfm_pc <- sfcr_matrix(
  columns = c("Households", "Firms", "Government", "CB current", "CB capital"),
  codes = c("h", "f", "g", "cbc", "cbk"),
  c("Consumption", h = "-C", f = "+C"),
  c("Govt. Expenditures", f = "+G", g = "-G"),
  c("Income", h = "+Y", f = "-Y"),
  c("Int. payments", h = "+r[-1] * Bh[-1]", g = "-r[-1] * Bs[-1]", cbc = "+r[-1] * Bcb[-1]"),
  c("CB profits", g = "+r[-1] * Bcb[-1]", cbc = "-r[-1] * Bcb[-1]"),
  c("Taxes", h = "-TX", g = "+TX"),
  c("Ch. Money", h = "-(Hh - Hh[-1])", cbk = "+(Hs - Hs[-1])"),
  c("Ch. Bills", h = "-(Bh - Bh[-1])", g = "+(Bs - Bs[-1])", cbk = "-(Bcb - Bcb[-1])")
)

Print matrix to screen

Description

Print matrix to screen

Usage

sfcr_matrix_display(matrix, which = "tfm")

Arguments

matrix

A balance sheet or transactions-flow matrix

which

A character string for the matrix. Is it a balance-sheet or a transactions-flow matrix? here are two options: "bs" for balance-sheet matrices, and "tfm" for transactions- flow matrices. The default is "tfm".

Details

This function takes a matrix as input and generate a kableExtra table with math symbols displayed in latex style.

Note

This function converts the math expressions used to build the sfcr_matrix into a latex format, but cannot add modifications to it. The user is invited to explore the source code and the kableExtra package in order to personalize his/her own matrices.

Author(s)

João Macalós

Examples

# Balance-sheet matrix

bs_insout <- sfcr_matrix(
  columns = c("Households", "Firms", "Government", "Central bank", "Banks", "Sum"),
  codes = c("h", "f", "g", "cb", "b", "s"),
  r1 = c("Inventories", f = "+INV", s = "+INV"),
  r2 = c("HPM", h = "+Hhd", cb = "-Hs", b = "+Hbd"),
  r3 = c("Advances", cb = "+As", b = "-Ad"),
  r4 = c("Checking deposits", h = "+M1h", b = "-M1s"),
  r5 = c("Time deposits", h = "+M2h", b = "-M2s"),
  r6 = c("Bills", h = "+Bhh", g = "-Bs", cb = "+Bcb", b = "+Bbd"),
  r7 = c("Bonds", h = "+BLh * pbl", g = "-BLs * pbl"),
  r8 = c("Loans", f = "-Ld", b = "+Ls"),
  r9 = c("Balance", h = "-V", f = 0, g = "+GD", cb = 0, b = 0, s = "-INV")
)

sfcr_matrix_display(bs_insout, "bs")

Simulate multiple SFC models at the same time

Description

The sfcr_multis() function is used to simulate multiple models at the same time, returning a list of sfcr_tbls.

Usage

sfcr_multis(expanded, fixed, periods, ...)

Arguments

expanded

A sfcr_mlt_set, sfcr_mlt_shock, or a sfcr_mlt object.

fixed

A sfcr_set, sfcr_tbl, or sfcr_shock object.

periods

A number specifying the total number of periods of the model to be simulated.

...

Additional arguments to pass to the underlying implementation of the sfcr_baseline() or sfcr_scenario() functions.

Details

The sfcr_multis() function takes an expanded object and a fixed to simulate multiple models that will share the content of fixed but vary on the expanded.

This function is a generic, which means that its implementation depends on the class of the expanded argument.

The available methods for the sfcr_multis() function depends on the expanded argument. There are three possible methods:

Author(s)

João Macalós

Examples

eqs <- sfcr_set(
  TX_s ~ TX_d,
  YD ~ W * N_s - TX_s,
  C_d ~ alpha1 * YD + alpha2 * H_h[-1],
  H_h ~ YD - C_d + H_h[-1],
  N_s ~ N_d,
  N_d ~ Y / W,
  C_s ~ C_d,
  G_s ~ G_d,
  Y ~ C_s + G_s,
  TX_d ~ theta * W * N_s,
  H_s ~ G_d - TX_d + H_s[-1]
)

external <- sfcr_set(G_d ~ 20, W ~ 1, alpha1 ~ 0.6, alpha2 ~ 0.4, theta ~ 0.2)

shock <- sfcr_shock(
  variables = sfcr_set(
    alpha2 ~ 0.3
  ),
  start = 1,
  end = 3
)

baseline <- sfcr_baseline(eqs, external, periods = 5)

# Example 1: Many external sets, 1 set of equations:
expanded1 <- sfcr_expand(external, alpha1, c(0.7, 0.8))
multis1 <- sfcr_multis(expanded = expanded1, fixed = eqs, periods = 5)

# Example 2: Many shocks, 1 baseline model:
expanded2 <- sfcr_expand(shock, alpha2, c(0.1, 0.2))
multis2 <- sfcr_multis(expanded = expanded2, fixed = baseline, periods = 5)

# Example 3: Many baseline models, 1 shock:
multis3 <- sfcr_multis(expanded = multis1, fixed = shock, periods = 5)


Find a valid matrix of portfolio parameters

Description

The sfcr_portfolio() function calculates a valid matrix of portfolio parameters by applying the symmetry condition and then filling the missing rows accordingly to the vertical and horizontal adding-up constraints.

Usage

sfcr_portfolio(m, known)

Arguments

m

A matrix of parameter names

known

A named vector of known parameters. One entry for each symmetry condition is enough to find a valid matrix.

Details

This function calculates only the values of the rates of return matrix, i.e., the internal matrix. The adding-up constraint number 1, that calculates the share of assets in the net wealth and the impact of regular income to wealth ratio must be calculated separately.

If supplied with insufficient parameters, the function will return a matrix with NA values.

This function requires at least (n^2 - n)/2 known parameters to find a valid portfolio matrix, where n is the number of rows/columns. This is achieved by setting known parameters outside the diagonal and not on symmetrical entries, i.e., not lambda12 and lambda21, for example.

Author(s)

João Macalós

Examples

j1 <- matrix(paste0("lambda", c(11:14, 21:24, 31:34, 41:44)), ncol = 4, nrow = 4, byrow = TRUE)
j2 <- c(lambda12 = 0, lambda13 = 0, lambda14 = 0, lambda23 = -15, lambda24 = -15, lambda34 = -15)

sfcr_portfolio(j1, j2)


Generate random sequences inside sfcr_set()

Description

This function can only be used inside sfcr_set() when generating variables. It smartly guesses the length of the sfcr_baseline() model or of the sfcr_shock() that it is inserted.

Usage

sfcr_random(.f, ...)

Arguments

.f

This argument accepts three options: "rnorm", "rbinom", and "runif", and implement the respective functions from the built-in stats package.

...

Extra arguments to be passed to the stats generator functions

Author(s)

João Macalós

Examples

# Create a random normal series to pass along an endogenous series
# Example taken from model PC EXT 2.
sfcr_set(
    Ra ~ sfcr_random("rnorm", mean=0, sd=0.05)
)


Plot Sankey's diagram representation of transactions-flow matrix

Description

Plot Sankey's diagram representation of transactions-flow matrix

Usage

sfcr_sankey(tfm, baseline, when = "start")

Arguments

tfm

A transactions-flow matrix

baseline

A baseline model

when

When the Sankey's diagram should be evaluated?

  • "start": Fifth and fourth periods.

  • "end": last two periods of the simulation (stationary state).

Author(s)

João Macalós


Add scenarios to a sfcr model.

Description

Add scenarios to a sfcr model.

Usage

sfcr_scenario(
  baseline,
  scenario,
  periods,
  max_iter = 350,
  tol = 1e-10,
  method = "Broyden",
  ...
)

Arguments

baseline

A model generated with the sfcr_baseline() function.

scenario

Either a shock created with sfcr_shock(), a list of shocks, or NULL. If scenario = NULL, the model will just extend the baseline model.

periods

A number specifying the total number of periods of the model to be simulated.

max_iter

Maximum iterations allowed per period.

tol

Tolerance accepted to determine convergence.

method

The method to use to find a solution. Defaults to "Broyden".

...

Extra arguments to pass to rootSolve::multiroot() function if "Newton" method is selected.

Details

Add scenario(s) to a model generated with sfcr_baseline() functions.

This function inherits the block structure from the steady state model. See sfcr_baseline for further details on the algorithms.

Author(s)

João Macalós, joaomacalos@gmail.com

See Also

sfcr_baseline

Examples

eqs <- sfcr_set(
  TX_s ~ TX_d,
  YD ~ W * N_s - TX_s,
  C_d ~ alpha1 * YD + alpha2 * H_h[-1],
  H_h ~ YD - C_d + H_h[-1],
  N_s ~ N_d,
  N_d ~ Y / W,
  C_s ~ C_d,
  G_s ~ G_d,
  Y ~ C_s + G_s,
  TX_d ~ theta * W * N_s,
  H_s ~ G_d - TX_d + H_s[-1]
)

external <- sfcr_set(G_d ~ 20, W ~ 1, alpha1 ~ 0.6, alpha2 ~ 0.4, theta ~ 0.2)

# t is set to 10 to run faster. A usual model should run at least 50 periods to find a steady state
steady_state <- sfcr_baseline(eqs, external, periods = 10)

# Increase G_d from 20 to 30 between periods 5 and 10
shock1 <- sfcr_shock(sfcr_set(G_d ~ 30), 5, 10)

sfcr_scenario(steady_state, scenario = list(shock1), 10)

# Increase W to 2, alpha2 to 0.5, and decrease theta to 0.15
shock2 <- sfcr_shock(
  variables = sfcr_set(
  W ~ 2,
  alpha2 ~ 0.5,
  theta ~ 0.15
  ),
  start = 5,
  end = 10)

sfcr_scenario(steady_state, list(shock2), 10)



Define the formulas of the model

Description

The sfcr_set() function is used to create the lists of equations, external variables, initial values, and also to modify the variables inside the sfcr_shock() function.

Usage

sfcr_set(..., exclude = NULL)

Arguments

...

The formulas used to define the equations and external values of the system

exclude

One or more indices of equations to be excluded. The correct indices can be found with sfcr_set_index().

Details

This function is a S3 generic that applicable to only two inputs: formula and sfcr_set. It is used to create a new set of equations or to modify an existing one.

Therefore, the equations must be written using the R formula syntax, i.e., the left-hand side of each equation is separated from the right-hand side with a ~ ("twiddle") instead of a =.

Furthermore, the sfcr_set() function recognizes two symbols that are not native to R language: [-1], and d().

Random variables can be created using the sfcr_random() function. See sfcr_random for further details.

Author(s)

João Macalós

Examples

# Endogenous set
equations <- sfcr_set(
  TXs ~ TXd,
  YD ~ W * Ns - TXs,
  Cd ~ alpha1 * YD + alpha2 * Hh[-1],
  Hh ~ YD - Cd + Hh[-1],
  Ns ~ Nd,
  Nd ~ Y / W,
  Cs ~ Cd,
  Gs ~ Gd,
  Y ~ Cs + Gs,
  TXd ~ theta * W * Ns,
  Hs ~ Gd - TXd + Hs[-1]
  )

# Exogenous set
exogenous <- sfcr_set(alpha1 ~ 0.8, alpha2 ~ 0.15)

# Modify an existing set
equations2 <- sfcr_set(equations, Hh ~ Hh[-1] + d(Hs), exclude = 4)

# Add normal random variable
sfcr_set(Ra ~ sfcr_random("rnorm", mean=10, sd=2))


Get names of endogenous vars and their index

Description

The sfcr_set_index() function takes a list of equations as its input and returns a tibble containing the name of the variable on the left-hand side of the equations and their position in the equations list.

Usage

sfcr_set_index(eqs)

Arguments

eqs

A list of equations created with sfcr_set()

Details

This function aims to facilitate locating a specific equation in the list in order to modify the list of equations.

To add random variation to endogenous variables, use sfcr_random().

Author(s)

João Macalós


Create shock(s) to add to a sfcr_scenario().

Description

Create shock(s) to add to a sfcr_scenario().

Usage

sfcr_shock(variables, start, end)

Arguments

variables

A sfcr_set() with formula(e) containing the name of the variable(s) that will be shocked on the left-hand side and their new values on the right- hand side.

It is possible to add exogenous series a shock instead of constant variables. However, the length of such series must be exactly the same as the period of the shock (i.e., the difference between start and end).

start

An integer indicating the period when the shock takes place.

end

An integer indicating the period when the shock ends.

Author(s)

João Macalós, joaomacalos@gmail.com

Examples


sfcr_shock(
 variables = sfcr_set(G_d ~ 30, W ~ 1.5),
 start = 5,
 end = 66)

sfcr_shock(
 variables = sfcr_set(G_d ~ seq(30, 40, length.out=62)),
 start = 5,
 end = 66)


Validate a transactions-flow or balance-sheet matrix

Description

This function validates a transactions-flow or balance-sheet matrix with the simulated data obtained with sfcr_baseline() function

Usage

sfcr_validate(matrix, baseline, which, tol = 1, rtol = FALSE)

Arguments

matrix

A transactions-flow or balance sheet matrix

baseline

A baseline model.

which

Either "bs" (balance-sheet matrix) or "tfm" (transactions-flow matrix).

tol

A numerical value indicating the absolute accepted discrepancy accepted to validate whether the rows and columns are equal to their expected values.

rtol

A logical value indicating whether relative discrepancies should be evaluated. It defaults to FALSE. Stationary models should pass the test using a absolute level while growth models might need a relative validation since computational discrepancies tend to get larger with the model. See details for further information.

Details

The relative discrepancy is calculated differently if we are dealing with a transactions-flow matrix or with a balance-sheet matrix. If which is set to tfm, the sum of the row/column is evaluated against the sum of the positive entries of that row/column.

For example, in a transactions-flow matrix with three entries in the "change in the stock of bills" row (-Delta (Bhd), + Delta (Bs), and + Delta (Bbd)), the discrepancy d = Delta Bs - Delta Bhd - Delta Bbd is evaluated against Delta Bs, i.e., the row is validated if d/Delta Bs < tol.

In a balance-sheet matrix, all the rows/columns that sum to zero are validated exactly as in a transactions-flow matrix. The exception to this rule is when there is a expected value. In this case, the discrepancy is evaluated as a proportion of the expected. value

To prevent unnecessary calculations, a absolute check with tolerance defined as 1e-3 is executed prior to this evaluation.

The absolute discrepancy set with tol should be enough to validate a stationary SFC Model.

Author(s)

João Macalós