## ----squares, echo = FALSE, fig.cap = 'Visual description of the iterative “completing” of the reporting triangle, which relies on the assumption that the ratio between delays for fully observed reference times is consistent with the ratio between those same delays in the partially observed data.'---- knitr::include_graphics(file.path( "..", "man", "figures", "reporting_triangle.png" )) ## ----pt-nowcast, echo = FALSE, fig.cap = 'Visual description of the generation of a point nowcast matrix from a reporting triangle and delay PMF. '---- knitr::include_graphics(file.path("..", "man", "figures", "point_nowcast.png")) ## ----uncertainty-quantification, echo = FALSE, fig.cap = 'Visual description of the uncertainty quantification method, which generates retrospective point nowcasts and compares those estimates to what was later observed as of the nowcast time.'---- knitr::include_graphics(file.path("..", "man", "figures", "uq.png")) ## ----predicted-prob-nowcasts, echo = FALSE, fig.cap = 'Visual description of the generation of predicted probabilistic nowcasts generated via sampling from the observation model with the estimated uncertainty parameters and a mean given by the sum of the predicted components at each reference time.'---- knitr::include_graphics(file.path( "..", "man", "figures", "pred_prob_nowcasts.png" )) ## ----comb-w-obs, echo = FALSE, fig.cap = 'Visual description of combining the observations with the probabilistic predicted nowcast components to generate probabilistic nowcasts.'---- knitr::include_graphics(file.path("..", "man", "figures", "comb_w_obs.png"))